Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155d76e1a7ed00a60713b82887ad60380fc71cf76c6b67b05736495900f06ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,445 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,524$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 1,486$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,421$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.98 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked No | 35c | 836.15$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 66c | 754.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed No | 34c | 724.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 73c | 595.69$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Yes | 66c | 444.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 438.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Yes | 65c | 344.83$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 342.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Yes | 65c | 317.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…f3aebacked Yes | 64c | 313.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked No | 36c | 310.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Yes | 65c | 302.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 66c | 296.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 231.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Yes | 65c | 213.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 62c | 185.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 184.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 63c | 182.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Yes | 64c | 154.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Yes | 66c | 152.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 37c | 131.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 38c | 131.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Yes | 66c | 128.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 40c | 123.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 60c | 109.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 65c | 108.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Yes | 64c | 104.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 52c | 104.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Yes | 64c | 103.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Yes | 64c | 100.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 30c | 100.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed No | 35c | 87.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed No | 35c | 87.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 27c | 87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed No | 35c | 85.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed No | 35c | 84.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked No | 36c | 78.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked No | 36c | 75.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 64.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 30c | 60.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 52c | 57.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 64c | 45.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 40.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 65c | 39.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…12e2backed Yes | 66c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…65d0backed Yes | 65c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…98a0backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.