Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158ac802425dd2fb90310f26ba1eb4bc6aaadd9f9d5355b85e53ca8ef8a4df88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Over | 55c | 22,088$12,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020.43 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 45c | 8,223$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.42 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 7,274$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.1 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 56c | 6,259$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.63 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 4,549$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.41 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…8f75backed Under | 45c | 4,406$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,708$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 2,571$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,162$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.64 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,821$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 1,710$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 1,565$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.96 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 1,310$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 1,019$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.09 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 989.82$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.32 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 971.51$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 900$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 39c | 522.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 57c | 496.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 42c | 495.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 45c | 471.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 49c | 469.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 448.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 435.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 56c | 326.48$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…801cbacked Under | 56c | 323.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 288.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 256.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 211.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 40c | 188.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 41c | 176.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 40c | 161.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 63c | 157.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a452backed Over | 51c | 129.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 57c | 127.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 51c | 107.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 56c | 69.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 54c | 68.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed Over | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 53c | 55.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 54.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Over | 44c | 43.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 48c | 39.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 47c | 38.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Over | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 40c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…48cabacked Over | 59c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 55c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Over | 52c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-4.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsStetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.