Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce263076bd0bd0f7292bfba309fe4cd34f019fc7dccf4d3b05f3c1d8493d3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Stetson Hatters | 54c | 2,965$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.59 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 2,270$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.18 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 1,873$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.32 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stetson Hatters | 43c | 1,116$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 1,094$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.69 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stetson Hatters | 43c | 1,083$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stetson Hatters | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stetson Hatters | 52c | 448.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 42c | 415.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 316.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 307.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 49c | 282.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 272.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Stetson Hatters | 46c | 245.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 45c | 223.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Stetson Hatters | 55c | 221.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Stetson Hatters | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 198.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stetson Hatters | 52c | 139.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Stetson Hatters | 46c | 95.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 42c | 55.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Stetson Hatters | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Stetson Hatters | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…30d3backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 39c | 39.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 45c | 37.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 49c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-4.5)this page
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsStetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 155.5Over won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.