TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,642 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over54c54,934$29,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,813.9667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c23,353$10,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,865.2922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c21,452$9,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,584.1756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…c8f8backed Over51c3,194$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,314$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.0562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over56c2,172$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c2,049$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.011,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9919353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,890$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c904.25$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.572,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c815.72$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c815.22$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.221,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…7b22backed Over56c727.28$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.172055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c619.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32432648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c500.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0116756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c399.48$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7160741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa80…f251backed Under46c361.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.821850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over55c347.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.025253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c245.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over53c244.3$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4821555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c218.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.981,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under46c209.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0111250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c191.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c189.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over36c150.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.822,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.55046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c120.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c112.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.692,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c101.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9522352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c100.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc377…5d0abacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under27c89.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5821856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over64c85.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1742254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x468b…1703backed Over54c82.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over70c74.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.11,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010355.3%57 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7c7…1173backed Over54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.962755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over54c73.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.562729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under45c71.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.114445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe0…947cbacked Over56c68.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.324247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359357%53 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over53c56.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.861,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under30c53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111233.9%38 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Over54c52.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.427652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832145.5%146 W · 175 L-18.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c48.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over56c46.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0190…a3bdbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under45c44.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.056842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Under48c40.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c37.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2079…c5c7backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.987152.1%37 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Over55c34.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under47c33.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.676144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Under45c33.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0727739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9114157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed Over54c28.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under46c28.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10a…b4b0backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over59c25.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2713336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…4a17backed Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under46c23.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7320857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x556f…f4e4backed Under47c21.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under48c21.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1527453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Over54c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Over56c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.