NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8797d57bb11089170b94b5322bc4412efede45ec5361c072560a7ed5b770c637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,067 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 2,787$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 57c | 2,760$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.8 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 55c | 1,868$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.28 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 41c | 1,469$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.49 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 1,240$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 40c | 1,233$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 768.3$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.18 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 625$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 58c | 509.72$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 429.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 72c | 415.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…8a6bbacked Over | 42c | 407$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 401.59$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 60c | 391$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…fd6cbacked Under | 58c | 337$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…1f3dbacked Over | 42c | 322$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…509fbacked Over | 42c | 296$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…db5abacked Under | 58c | 294$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d15fbacked Over | 42c | 292$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…702cbacked Under | 58c | 291$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…78bdbacked Over | 42c | 277$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…8358backed Over | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…ebffbacked Under | 58c | 248$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…dc40backed Under | 58c | 236$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 205.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…9228backed Over | 42c | 203$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…c4c3backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…0eb3backed Under | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…52a5backed Over | 42c | 173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…40fabacked Under | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…3297backed Under | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…4706backed Under | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…3694backed Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2f1abacked Under | 58c | 124$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 56c | 118.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 118.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 43c | 113.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 88.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 70c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 74c | 81.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 76.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 42c | 72.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 55c | 39.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 56c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…7da2backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 54c | 23.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Under | 76c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…87e7backed Under | 62c | 16.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. KrakenBlues won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.