NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c9a117f140c0fbd945ff3639a65dbf129e963432b75059f06f93cf455b4029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Kraken, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,536 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kraken | 36c | 6,869$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.92 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues | 64c | 4,814$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.2 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.69 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 35c | 1,777$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.95 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Blues | 65c | 459.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blues | 64c | 436$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Blues | 65c | 352.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Blues | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 65c | 206.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kraken | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Kraken | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Blues | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blues | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Blues | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Kraken | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Blues | 66c | 167.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kraken | 32c | 161.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 43c | 152.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 32c | 152.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blues | 58c | 147.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 67c | 120.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Kraken | 35c | 119.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 67c | 119.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…eaa0backed Kraken | 35c | 118.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 63c | 112.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Kraken | 35c | 111.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Kraken | 35c | 109.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kraken | 33c | 108.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kraken | 33c | 107.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Blues | 68c | 103.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Kraken | 37c | 100.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Blues | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kraken | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Kraken | 35c | 96.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Blues | 66c | 91.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Kraken | 39c | 71.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kraken | 35c | 62.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Blues | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kraken | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kraken | 33c | 48.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Kraken | 53c | 37.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Blues | 65c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Kraken | 32c | 34.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Blues | 66c | 30.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blues | 48c | 29.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Blues | 66c | 27.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…9d85backed Blues | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blues | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Blues | 66c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. KrakenBlues won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.