Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd518d4868e3ad508493a990389fc060021dba507c1350729ec76c407474d7b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 63c | 2,368$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.95 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 48c | 1,659$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,271$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 1,258$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Over | 22c | 606.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 528.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 513.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 499.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 438.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 47c | 252.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 48c | 213.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 204.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 56c | 128.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 124.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Under | 51c | 111.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 46c | 109.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Under | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Over | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 90.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…9d43backed Under | 48c | 48.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 40c | 36.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 52c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Under | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 147.5this page
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine KnightsBellarmine Knights won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 145.5Over won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-1.5)Bellarmine Knights won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-2.5)Bellarmine Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.