Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02fb900180be6bb040277c22b1cb013efc414db611242382a450ad7d1445f947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Over | 51c | 5,795$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.02 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,703$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 4,038$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.58 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,220$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 881.4$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 99.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…85edbacked Under | 21c | 94.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 50c | 48.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 47.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 47.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 48c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 31.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 79c | 24.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 146.5this page
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine KnightsBellarmine Knights won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 145.5Over won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-1.5)Bellarmine Knights won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-2.5)Bellarmine Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.