Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8fbde298d2735fcc143a16491e0d36bc4328194931d970afb86e1790516621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 12,176$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 7,471$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.46 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,667$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 51c | 1,559$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 29c | 1,375$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 51c | 1,328$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 48c | 1,202$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.42 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,181$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 62c | 788.22$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 785.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 57c | 684.78$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 49c | 598.04$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 577.64$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 49c | 499.78$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 35c | 498.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 49c | 495.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 483$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Yes | 49c | 463.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked No | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed No | 54c | 340.34$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked No | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed No | 52c | 306.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…69aebacked Yes | 48c | 292.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 47c | 291.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 243.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 238.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 54c | 218.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 48c | 211.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 48c | 207$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 51c | 203.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 38c | 199.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 186.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 49c | 180.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 173.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 47c | 169.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 51c | 169.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 52c | 166.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 55c | 160.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 51c | 158.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked No | 42c | 156.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 61c | 131.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 61c | 131.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 12c | 108.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…e3eabacked Yes | 65c | 106.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 55c | 102.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 51c | 98.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed No | 52c | 98.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 74c | 86.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 86.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 36c | 84.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 78.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 35c | 76.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 69.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…b9c8backed No | 20c | 62.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +200%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 50c | 58.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 52c | 48.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 49c | 48.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed No | 49c | 46.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed No | 49c | 42.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 61c | 41.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Yes | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…5d8bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…7220backed Yes | 50c | 27.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 50c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 64c | 26.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 62c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed No | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed No | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 51c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.