Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a386db9894b8be94c3ef99bdd04b9bd6560d9d34d7ebd3f7a6f4f37d4eaaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Over | 43c | 5,617$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,608$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 4,082$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 44c | 2,664$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 38c | 2,575$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 2,560$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.53 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 67c | 1,977$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 1,467$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 20c | 1,289$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 992.91$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 70c | 880.64$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.54 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 829.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 60c | 815.76$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 43c | 790.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 67c | 726.75$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 690.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Under | 63c | 679.32$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 64c | 589.41$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 578.18$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 533.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 533.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 57c | 533.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 64c | 488.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 422.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 366.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 314.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Under | 56c | 310.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Under | 65c | 299.04$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 292.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 267.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 61c | 246.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 38c | 206.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 201.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 197.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 159.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 35c | 149.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Under | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Over | 38c | 125.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 73c | 114.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 109.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 36c | 107.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…ade9backed Over | 17c | 104.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 100.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 23c | 98.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Under | 30c | 96.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 67c | 94.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 89.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 36c | 88.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Under | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 36c | 65.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 32c | 65.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 35c | 60.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 70c | 53.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…65c8backed Over | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 40c | 48.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Under | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 41c | 39.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 35c | 38.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…2bf2backed Under | 76c | 37.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887b…bf0fbacked Over | 31c | 35.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 67c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6e40backed Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 47c | 28.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 73c | 25.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 55c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Under | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 18.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 58c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 72c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.