TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under25c9,968$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.05825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c7,370$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.773,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over43c6,363$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.295448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c2,132$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.132,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Under57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under57c1,693$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.754250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c1,303$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.718165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under34c1,247$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under48c1,106$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.642650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over54c1,102$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.733636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under46c1,093$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.92650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over76c985.6$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.547067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under38c802.5$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3977141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over76c762.14$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over73c761.32$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3714654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over73c761.32$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.373357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over73c761.32$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.374461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over64c734.04$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under34c679.14$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over67c659.81$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over76c648.42$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Over59c612.17$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under35c593.81$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c592.7$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over75c575.95$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.995265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over75c575.95$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.998254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over75c575.95$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9910956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over75c575.95$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9911443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over75c550.81$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.714552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over44c549.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.491050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.992846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over60c406.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.671947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9712934.9%45 W · 84 L-20.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under24c363.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under57c343.89$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15918444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over43c285.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.594341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over70c271.6$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.452352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over64c229.31$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.551070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.026235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under10c219.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.921435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over43c218.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under50c215.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.831936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under59c195.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over68c185.37$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.384850%24 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Under57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Under57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over68c150.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.173145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over67c146.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.113259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under57c136.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over75c131.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.838853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over75c131.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.839056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over75c131.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.834546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over73c127.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…0820backed Over75c121.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.54151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.758733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over66c104.33$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7414767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over48c101.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.589638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c99.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over44c95.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Over57c93.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3945…2ef2backed Over43c81.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Over43c79.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over68c78.23$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.18349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under59c74.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.724755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.148130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over55c66.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.910941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.421758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.423164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over74c63.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.715263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under41c63.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8712258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over68c57.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under40c54.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc293…a41dbacked Under37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Under57c48.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Under37c48.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over75c47.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under27c47.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x887b…bf0fbacked Under35c47.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c46.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5517647.7%84 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x427c…75bfbacked Over43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Over66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f1…0d5bbacked Over44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2561…def4backed Over44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under57c43.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-60.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over77c42.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.799164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under57c42.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.363729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.374575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.