TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,415 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings47c451,370$210,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,343.987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pelicans53c250,000$132,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,50066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pelicans55c65,000$35,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,25029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans53c55,279$29,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,706.471,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans54c41,000$22,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,8601,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pelicans53c40,311$21,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,946.019655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings47c36,022$16,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,986.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans51c29,403$14,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,407.6860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings45c26,825$12,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,071.282,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans54c24,100$13,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,08624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Pelicans54c22,888$12,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,528.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings48c21,090$10,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,147.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Pelicans54c16,109$8,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,410.1417554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Pelicans54c13,706$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,304.764742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans54c13,196$7,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,021.3425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans54c10,458$5,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Kings49c10,210$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.9852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans55c9,358$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.9870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings46c9,138$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings46c7,325$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.4557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings48c4,743$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x112c…dbdfbacked Pelicans54c4,400$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Pelicans54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8608747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings46c3,466$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pelicans53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5114753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans54c3,332$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.722,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings47c3,282$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans44c2,813$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.014,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans52c2,235$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Pelicans58c2,047$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.86657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans54c1,895$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pelicans57c1,860$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans56c1,808$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings46c1,741$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.352,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Kings48c1,388$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66632450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Kings53c1,238$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Kings47c1,142$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Kings46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Kings47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans56c1,030$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.781,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Kings49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Pelicans55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9923938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Pelicans54c999.37$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7121139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans55c898.97$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Pelicans51c671.14$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8617748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Pelicans55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28248957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Kings48c599.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Pelicans51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Pelicans52c587.38$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Kings46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kings47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Pelicans54c518.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Kings26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Kings48c479$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9216849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Pelicans56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.432433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pelicans55c446.3$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8324151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Kings48c403.27$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.579352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb27e…3575backed Kings46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Pelicans54c371.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2611157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Kings23c364.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8715534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans47c341.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16028751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings48c311.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Kings48c275.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Pelicans55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7322447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Pelicans55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Kings56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans46c263.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kings50c254.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Pelicans52c236.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0830845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Pelicans55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Kings47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kings49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans53c196.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pelicans51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Kings52c193.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Pelicans52c191.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1514466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Pelicans55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8243447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Pelicans55c159.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5827350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Kings49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Kings48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings47c149$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Kings48c144$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Kings49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings48c141.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.611,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans53c135.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.911,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Kings48c126.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.622,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kings49c123.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Kings46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans52c118.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.