TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,582 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Pelicans50c15,941$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,940.755945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings46c6,008$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings45c5,286$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Pelicans57c5,267$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2708361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings49c4,260$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.9669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings48c3,003$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings43c2,578$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans50c2,437$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.862,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings46c2,413$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings43c2,083$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.93,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Pelicans56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.2311249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ede…c29fbacked Pelicans50c1,436$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8885…3ec9backed Kings50c1,416$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings45c1,377$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings51c1,371$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd46…01a6backed Pelicans50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9e…8b35backed Pelicans50c1,272$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Kings49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8358…9bf9backed Kings50c1,204$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb23e…4b00backed Pelicans50c1,204$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b35…6859backed Pelicans50c1,188$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings45c1,131$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf6…d903backed Kings50c1,124$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37f…6dc8backed Kings50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…d57cbacked Pelicans50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed Kings50c1,080$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb833…3ee4backed Pelicans50c1,075$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…e358backed Kings50c1,052$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b96…294abacked Kings50c1,048$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bd…3d7abacked Kings50c1,048$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b9…1edbbacked Kings50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Kings46c1,034$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95a…c264backed Kings50c1,028$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc4…01a4backed Pelicans50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c1…90d4backed Pelicans50c1,006$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pelicans56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a1…4fc4backed Kings50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4f…2e2bbacked Pelicans50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd25b…0467backed Pelicans50c964$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5590…b572backed Pelicans50c942$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…5995backed Kings50c928$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…a2a3backed Kings50c924$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4587…206bbacked Kings50c914$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f52…7066backed Pelicans50c912$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Pelicans55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0927158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3655…3838backed Kings50c886$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…6ebdbacked Pelicans50c877$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings49c829.8$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…848fbacked Kings50c802$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5524…2e50backed Kings50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x573b…1310backed Kings50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…d260backed Pelicans50c768$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc01…8397backed Pelicans50c756$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3785100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x641f…373cbacked Pelicans50c752$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1958…0838backed Pelicans50c742$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Pelicans53c735.76$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9626638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…11d3backed Kings50c734$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b49…557ebacked Pelicans50c726$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2f…ca17backed Kings50c716$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…3d3bbacked Pelicans50c712$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b3…e1f0backed Pelicans50c686$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…d362backed Kings50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4903…e52bbacked Pelicans50c648$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf678…ab4dbacked Kings50c644$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings48c643.13$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.212,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0e…e630backed Kings50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kings21c627.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kings50c574.09$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…ce96backed Pelicans50c565$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd603…6375backed Pelicans50c555$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Kings55c546.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3513346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Kings47c535$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…4cf7backed Kings45c533$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f0…ee22backed Kings50c529$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Pelicans57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d6…4c63backed Kings44c409.47$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans56c385$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Kings21c344.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings15c344.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb66…aa6bbacked Kings50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings6c307$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Kings47c305.56$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings49c273.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Kings45c261.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Pelicans49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans79c240$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Kings46c221.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3620847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans57c210.34$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Kings48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Pelicans51c206.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6710953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kings50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings44c199.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.861,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Kings46c194$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked Kings45c192.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.581752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Pelicans54c186.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.775151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings48c185.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.933,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Kings46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.