NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50fc67c1343340803af9cf51bf92b4e0a97eaeee3391b0da7a10f03ce3c24353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,370 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 50c | 16,016$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,015.52 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 10,357$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.11 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,875$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,161$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 51c | 2,378$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.42 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,024$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…e1c3backed Under | 50c | 926$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…12e6backed Over | 50c | 898$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…9380backed Over | 50c | 822$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 52c | 757.67$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.68 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 730.97$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…29ddbacked Under | 50c | 728$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…3568backed Under | 50c | 686$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…429dbacked Over | 50c | 677$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 662.2$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 627$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 553.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 544$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 47c | 487.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 50c | 454$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 54c | 310.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 307.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 220.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Under | 48c | 179.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 48c | 80.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 64.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…3f85backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 49.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 50c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 42.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…766dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. KingsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.