NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff0eda88946313e61197bba394710160a8d0e77c24ddcce0dfd1d064aeaa2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,924$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 57c | 4,441$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.61 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,268$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 2,975$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 2,357$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 56c | 1,951$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 1,939$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 1,197$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 59c | 1,177$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.54 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,003$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 60c | 962.11$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 43c | 747$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.21 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 711.13$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.12 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 468$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 437.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 43c | 376.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 46c | 330$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 192.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…f320backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 61c | 164.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 55c | 151.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 62c | 129.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 129.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 115.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 13c | 83.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 80.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 75.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 56c | 69.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 40c | 68.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 79c | 63.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 61.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 49c | 56.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 62c | 55.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 51.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 30c | 49.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 46c | 48.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 47c | 40.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 46c | 36.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 34.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…d773backed Over | 58c | 17.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. KingsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.