TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,401 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c24,853$12,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,178.0787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c13,784$6,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,753.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c8,821$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c3,630$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over54c3,136$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.5648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4702240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,869$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.781,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c2,386$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1932,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over51c1,864$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.5222055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86bb…54ebbacked Over47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,572$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,318$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c1,196$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.154,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over52c1,130$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.371,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c1,128$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.193,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…de94backed Under53c912$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Under53c888$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c846.12$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c839$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.722,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c805$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c802.12$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c600$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under55c521.18$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4147651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c474.24$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.091,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c440.59$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.811,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c432.11$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.412,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c384.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.12,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3719045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c345$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.851,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c332.2$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.622,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under53c320.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c260.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.563,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c258.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.481,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over51c218.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under13c202.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over51c194.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.237853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under54c169.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.045152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over51c120.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c120.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6446346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.220847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Under50c91.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.719850%49 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over76c79.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under31c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4117243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under52c69.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3737549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1639055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…589ebacked Over35c64.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over54c62.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8421748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under53c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8911342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over80c49.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8810069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under49c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.414858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under54c39.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Under50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c31.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5939943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1932747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1932947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158452.4%44 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.112747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c28.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb060…6331backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c24.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c21.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5c…3901backed Under54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217c…d494backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.