TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No32c28,775$9,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,552.769038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed Yes68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Yes68c8,539$5,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,806.791040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No33c4,445$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.685250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No34c3,338$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.034759.6%28 W · 19 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Yes68c2,985$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes69c2,889$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c1,934$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.8115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes66c1,314$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86413847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d0…50b9backed Yes70c1,214$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No34c1,087$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.731428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No31c1,004$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.9517348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes47c775.65$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.6922647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7724…7e7abacked Yes66c761.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e3…ae22backed Yes66c729.12$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes67c711.32$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.582147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes66c679$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No35c676.4$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6617048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed No34c614.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.811450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Yes66c497.67$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b2…96edbacked Yes67c474.24$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a62…c07abacked Yes67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Yes66c423.7$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes66c413.21$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes55c400$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c9…5769backed Yes66c355.34$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5178…f7dcbacked Yes66c346.97$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c85…9e34backed Yes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes63c300$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907266.7%48 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed No34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8126…8b52backed Yes67c261.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f89…8017backed Yes71c254.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Yes65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1130…f920backed Yes68c235.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52d…e521backed Yes65c229.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff42…83e5backed Yes67c226.6$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4cd1…b557backed Yes66c222$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No29c214.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.643360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No28c200$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1439752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes65c190$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+74.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa20…0088backed No36c160.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…5b78backed Yes65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes66c157.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.021844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x509f…8fb7backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb529…f3ffbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…366cbacked Yes67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4b…6423backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec6…78e4backed Yes67c149.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Yes66c145.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.871526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d8…885abacked Yes66c136.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes65c128.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaed…c6bdbacked Yes40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6014…dd16backed Yes66c117.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No30c116$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.23740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Yes67c110.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.911275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c10…8aacbacked Yes66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53a…f7d3backed Yes65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No33c99.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9829138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3676…c975backed Yes66c99.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc4…7a15backed Yes65c99.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes66c98.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes55c97.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…c433backed Yes65c96.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bb…9799backed No35c92.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Yes65c84.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed Yes59c84.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…5948backed Yes68c80.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d0…620cbacked Yes21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes68c76.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.113345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…466ebacked Yes54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Yes68c71.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6130%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ffb…7fb6backed No30c71.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6780…f913backed No30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d8…3083backed Yes66c61.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3517…6ca6backed Yes66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5616…a88cbacked Yes71c52.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabac…c5e5backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…ba90backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4842…7c89backed Yes66c49.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7761…532fbacked Yes65c49.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.011233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…52d6backed Yes66c49.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7622…e618backed Yes68c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3e…21a8backed Yes65c44.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a4…e6cabacked Yes68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f16…a860backed Yes65c43.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+987.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb895…ffe4backed Yes58c42.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eef…198abacked Yes65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.