Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4fc60684ab4382a55b55328095004d90517a7f0a8ddcbc4d6fcb91f1752354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 2c | 1,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +304%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 30c | 967.56$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 21c | 750.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 20c | 639.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.26 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 79c | 476.19$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 21c | 234.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 223.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 20c | 215.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 20c | 182.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 20c | 90.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Manchester City?No won
- Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.