TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof JD Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked JD Gaming47c10,005$4,702 inLost-$4,702.1920339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Invictus Gaming53c6,204$3,303 inWon+$2,901.1525143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Invictus Gaming57c2,500$1,425 inWon+$1,07548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Invictus Gaming53c2,147$1,138 inWon+$1,008.8952750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked JD Gaming42c2,011$855 inLost-$854.532457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed JD Gaming47c1,753$820 inLost-$82020649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Invictus Gaming56c1,607$900 inWon+$706.9332145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming52c1,071$557 inWon+$514.121,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed JD Gaming44c1,000$440 inLost-$44047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Invictus Gaming53c970.57$514 inWon+$456.1748742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed JD Gaming43c940$404 inLost-$404.244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Invictus Gaming53c892.58$473 inWon+$419.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0b…6583backed Invictus Gaming56c676.96$378 inWon+$298.4812142.1%51 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked JD Gaming43c574.89$250 inLost-$25035353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2eb…8979backed Invictus Gaming58c362.07$210 inWon+$152.0718347.5%87 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked JD Gaming44c352$155 inLost-$154.8840752.3%213 W · 194 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Invictus Gaming56c312.65$175 inWon+$137.2335054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Invictus Gaming56c299.71$169 inWon+$130.486440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed JD Gaming45c223.58$100 inLost-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Invictus Gaming55c219$120 inWon+$99.2660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming55c218.84$120 inWon+$98.481,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed JD Gaming45c215.56$97 inLost-$9748852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Invictus Gaming53c213$113 inWon+$100.1122142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming48c206.96$99 inLost-$99.262,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked JD Gaming43c203.47$87 inLost-$87.491,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Invictus Gaming57c172.44$98 inWon+$74.151,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed JD Gaming43c100$43 inLost-$4310842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed JD Gaming43c100$43 inLost-$4374637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed JD Gaming44c100$44 inLost-$4420239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Invictus Gaming53c100$53 inWon+$4716634.9%58 W · 108 L-19.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked JD Gaming24c100$24 inLost-$2423831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked JD Gaming44c70$31 inLost-$30.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed JD Gaming43c70$30 inLost-$30.125345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Invictus Gaming55c64$35 inWon+$28.853649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed JD Gaming39c52.56$20 inLost-$20.547630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Invictus Gaming58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.7249346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed Invictus Gaming57c50$29 inWon+$21.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed JD Gaming47c50$24 inLost-$23.579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed JD Gaming43c42.05$18 inLost-$184766%31 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Invictus Gaming53c40.89$22 inWon+$19.2229948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Invictus Gaming53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.7453955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Invictus Gaming57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0922747.6%108 W · 119 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming43c30.09$13 inLost-$12.9467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Invictus Gaming57c30$17 inWon+$12.939832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed JD Gaming44c30$13 inLost-$13.211354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed JD Gaming48c29.41$14 inLost-$14.122450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b5…66e8backed JD Gaming43c28.74$13 inLost-$12.53619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Invictus Gaming58c23.71$14 inWon+$9.9638144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.