Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2b1b16f91b9effa0848af85bc364e550e4cb18d2e731456ca894005b8829d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Over | 45c | 1,842$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.23 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 600$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.17 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 35c | 399.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 290.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 57c | 278.79$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 54c | 252$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Over | 46c | 189.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 31c | 174.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Over | 67c | 148.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 46c | 113.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…de38backed Under | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 105.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 35c | 97.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…8628backed Over | 46c | 83.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…97f8backed Over | 68c | 74.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 46c | 63.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Under | 41c | 61.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 54.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 54c | 50.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 35.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 46c | 35.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 46c | 33.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 46c | 28.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.