TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Top Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$573,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3af1…d739backed Top Esports27c49,381$13,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,332.8651146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports31c26,666$8,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,266.4257546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Bilibili Gaming73c24,841$18,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,707.0455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports27c22,222$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.0581443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed Top Esports10c20,891$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.537936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bilibili Gaming72c19,935$14,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.6990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Bilibili Gaming72c18,281$13,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.821,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Top Esports1c12,744$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.44330%0 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Top Esports44c12,215$5,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,340.0975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Bilibili Gaming69c11,453$7,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.4654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Top Esports28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00051748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Top Esports13c10,666$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.3235431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Bilibili Gaming73c10,082$7,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.0555056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed Bilibili Gaming74c10,041$7,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.2612652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Bilibili Gaming69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9920339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bilibili Gaming70c8,966$6,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.921,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Bilibili Gaming68c6,604$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.1638662.2%240 W · 146 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Bilibili Gaming68c6,376$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.821,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Top Esports47c6,017$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.467853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Bilibili Gaming73c6,015$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.167760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Top Esports32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9917133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Top Esports35c5,972$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.2234536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Top Esports32c5,683$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.413831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming68c5,398$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.41,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Top Esports22c5,179$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.641,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Bilibili Gaming79c4,703$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.4432457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Top Esports45c4,391$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.3676639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7c53backed Top Esports14c4,240$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.0918561.1%113 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Top Esports32c3,934$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25932440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Bilibili Gaming73c3,750$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.52,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed Top Esports11c3,556$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.794327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed Top Esports11c3,499$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9413854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming71c3,383$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.151,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports32c3,308$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.5686136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e6…25bebacked Top Esports31c3,183$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.243850%19 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Top Esports19c3,084$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059b…efc2backed Top Esports55c3,036$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.555350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Bilibili Gaming72c2,964$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.921,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Bilibili Gaming66c2,925$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.2535648.9%174 W · 182 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bilibili Gaming73c2,899$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.861,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca34…2102backed Top Esports22c2,886$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.842770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports27c2,671$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.082,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Top Esports10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Top Esports20c2,439$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.252,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Top Esports31c2,341$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.8713545.9%62 W · 73 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilibili Gaming59c2,300$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93770456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports13c2,287$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7397527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Top Esports9c2,270$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6169841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Top Esports11c2,233$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9547933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Top Esports13c2,194$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.61,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming73c2,121$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.671,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Bilibili Gaming68c2,101$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.1789746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Top Esports10c2,055$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5590443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Top Esports10c2,016$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Bilibili Gaming74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Bilibili Gaming78c1,959$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3446257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked Bilibili Gaming76c1,900$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.498150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Top Esports45c1,800$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9950242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Top Esports24c1,775$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.8382044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Bilibili Gaming65c1,750$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0133945.4%154 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked Top Esports47c1,675$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.236958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Top Esports28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e2…25eabacked Top Esports19c1,500$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.611342.5%48 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f46…b8e6backed Top Esports12c1,434$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.223751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Top Esports28c1,419$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.288544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Top Esports18c1,400$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514654.8%80 W · 66 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Top Esports14c1,360$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.383,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Top Esports4c1,356$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.071,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Bilibili Gaming72c1,349$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7218953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Bilibili Gaming53c1,334$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.794146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Bilibili Gaming71c1,315$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1148944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Bilibili Gaming71c1,309$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1558850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Top Esports34c1,262$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.032,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8756…3c83backed Top Esports29c1,262$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.088543.5%37 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Top Esports33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Top Esports33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Top Esports1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed Top Esports5c1,125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7511439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b51…227dbacked Top Esports12c1,108$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.221060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Top Esports42c1,082$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6375342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Top Esports51c1,024$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.217339.7%29 W · 44 L-9.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Top Esports5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Top Esports14c999.02$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8295541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Top Esports5c999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9544120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Top Esports31c980.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Bilibili Gaming73c963$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0157754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Top Esports37c960.48$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed Top Esports5c959.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Top Esports26c944.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.717749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Top Esports32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011330.1%34 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd11…8acfbacked Top Esports2c936.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Top Esports51c930.7$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47318742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Top Esports10c930.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0431644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Top Esports14c902.95$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7576642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817c…0817backed Top Esports29c900$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0312045%54 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked Top Esports6c900$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Bilibili Gaming76c892.03$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0923672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46d…04f6backed Bilibili Gaming69c888.52$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7715443.5%67 W · 87 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports32c851.1$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2547933.2%159 W · 320 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.