Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0e10acab2ae6d8879c80a0ce4224f66f40e671f62bd35999ec6a93e34c925b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 53c | 1,202$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 47c | 968.08$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 53c | 581.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 49c | 514.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 463.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 391.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 47c | 318.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 232.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 212.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 203.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 14c | 119.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…1848backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 19c | 64.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 59.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 67c | 43.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Over | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.