Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eea00c803cad3d847fac6e91dc1bd985e60d686b5a622cc657c032ec9242e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Top Esports | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 20,613$9,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,595.66 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 5,906$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.59 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 3,500$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.57 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 2,229$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.31 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 1,457$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.73 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Top Esports | 57c | 1,333$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 1,133$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.28 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 1,031$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.54 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 971$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.18 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 900.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.5 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports | 57c | 888$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 454.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.49 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Top Esports | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Top Esports | 59c | 255.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Top Esports | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 208.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 208.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Top Esports | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Top Esports | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Top Esports | 28c | 122.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Top Esports | 57c | 113.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 111.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Top Esports | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…ba90backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 101.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Top Esports | 53c | 101.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Top Esports | 50c | 100.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Top Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Top Esports | 50c | 99.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…371bbacked Top Esports | 57c | 96.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Top Esports | 51c | 89.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed Top Esports | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Top Esports | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Top Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 79.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Top Esports | 18c | 73.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0c6ebacked Top Esports | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 63.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Top Esports | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Top Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Top Esports | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 40.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Top Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Top Esports | 57c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Top Esports | 32c | 32.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Top Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.