TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a19…1848

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.31
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.21
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$84.74
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.54
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$53.71
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$39.72
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.76
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Dbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.24
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.52
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.