TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Anyone's Legend, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,997 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming70c1,118$786 inWon+$332.4151044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend30c777$233 inLost-$233.11,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anyone's Legend30c772.99$234 inLost-$233.631,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed JD Gaming66c701.6$463 inWon+$238.542,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Anyone's Legend34c564.94$192 inLost-$192.0839541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Anyone's Legend33c505.46$167 inLost-$166.821144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Anyone's Legend30c449.86$135 inLost-$134.967736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Anyone's Legend34c367.21$125 inLost-$124.8580832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Anyone's Legend37c286.19$106 inLost-$105.8416346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed JD Gaming70c269.35$189 inWon+$80.85667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed JD Gaming70c263.55$183 inWon+$80.2432653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b0…d8e4backed JD Gaming69c142.23$98 inWon+$44.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c9…52afbacked JD Gaming69c142.23$98 inWon+$44.092665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed JD Gaming67c135.46$91 inWon+$44.719157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Anyone's Legend30c114.45$34 inLost-$34.2560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked JD Gaming69c106.94$74 inWon+$33.3521140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed JD Gaming67c98.02$66 inWon+$32.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Anyone's Legend34c75.78$26 inLost-$25.692,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked JD Gaming66c74.21$49 inWon+$25.2392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Anyone's Legend30c57.14$17 inLost-$17.141,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed JD Gaming70c56.11$39 inWon+$16.8313154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed JD Gaming69c42.67$29 inWon+$13.234566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked JD Gaming67c38.04$25 inWon+$12.5511851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed JD Gaming67c32.52$22 inWon+$10.7329948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed JD Gaming67c29.26$20 inWon+$9.667762.3%48 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed JD Gaming67c29.26$20 inWon+$9.6617060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed JD Gaming69c21.33$15 inWon+$6.6165754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee7…dc3abacked JD Gaming67c19.69$13 inWon+$6.53050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.