Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738ac10acf9afbfd1cf467a2a430572504e80a5f38e857f47b2a6f37cba8d31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 532.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 48c | 264.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 150.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 56c | 147.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 49c | 145.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Under | 52c | 145.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 62c | 140.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 57c | 139.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 51c | 126.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 84.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 29c | 79.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 49c | 75.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 68.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Over | 49c | 44.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 52c | 41.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 52c | 38.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 54c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…06a9backed Over | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.