TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea0…e902

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.48
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.25
BMW Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$3.74
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.27
Mexico City: Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$352.01
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$213.7
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinnbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.29
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.36
Mexico City: Jay Clarke vs Matias Sotobacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56%+$106.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.53
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Dominika Salkovabacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.64
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.82
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$20.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$29.87
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$56.3
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.47
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+266%+$38.15
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.56
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.32
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.65
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.