Tennis · resolved market
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244cd800c420f93d8f05b535fdda417d7fd9826b52816c2d7a350451486a02f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quentin Halysof Matteo Arnaldi, Quentin Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Quentin Halys | 61c | 42,217$25,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,517.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Quentin Halys | 51c | 23,832$12,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.59 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 21,259$9,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,025.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 18,035$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.76 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 11,173$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 10,260$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 9,337$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 9,321$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 6,502$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.86 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Quentin Halys | 45c | 6,338$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 5,627$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 5,474$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Quentin Halys | 70c | 4,446$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.21 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 2,776$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.08 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 2,704$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.36 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,589$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.15 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Quentin Halys | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 1,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.79 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Quentin Halys | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Quentin Halys | 71c | 1,936$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.08 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Quentin Halys | 74c | 1,720$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.95 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Quentin Halys | 44c | 1,691$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.03 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 1,612$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.11 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 1,553$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.16 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 1,439$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Quentin Halys | 44c | 1,389$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 1,343$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Matteo Arnaldi | 2c | 1,259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Quentin Halys | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Quentin Halys | 44c | 1,092$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.54 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 1,081$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.44 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Quentin Halys | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Quentin Halys | 67c | 1,000$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 965.68$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.55 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 965.61$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 937.53$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.34 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 904.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 890.06$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Quentin Halys | 45c | 770.79$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.09 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Quentin Halys | 66c | 757.91$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 738.82$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 736.92$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 730.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Quentin Halys | 66c | 706.16$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Quentin Halys | 56c | 681.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Quentin Halys | 60c | 679.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 675$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Quentin Halys | 41c | 668.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.65 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 660.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…d338backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 644.74$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 639.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Quentin Halys | 46c | 626.96$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.56 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 615.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Quentin Halys | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Quentin Halys | 42c | 599.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Quentin Halys | 45c | 595.02$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Quentin Halys | 43c | 581.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 560.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 543.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…9107backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 535.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Quentin Halys | 74c | 533.8$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 513.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Quentin Halys | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 496.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.52 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 496.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.52 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 496.51$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 490.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…275cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 483.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 450.18$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 449.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Quentin Halys | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Quentin Halys | 41c | 421$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Quentin Halys | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Quentin Halys | 70c | 390.33$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 380.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 355.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Quentin Halys | 76c | 351.17$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 321.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 8c | 310.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 307.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Quentin Halys | 77c | 303.54$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Quentin Halys | 65c | 300.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 288.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 280.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Quentin Halys | 65c | 279.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…413fbacked Quentin Halys | 47c | 275.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Quentin Halys | 75c | 267$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…d0f5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 266.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Quentin Halys | 42c | 261.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 260.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 257.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 6c | 249.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysthis page
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.