Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce624492d74cec45f2bb2df26643d404a8d3a6a936a72f871ab8088907d86091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 4,670$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Anadolu Efes | 16c | 2,633$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.9 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 16c | 1,646$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Anadolu Efes | 29c | 1,355$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 72c | 1,230$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 1,190$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…1cebbacked Anadolu Efes | 17c | 1,178$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 74c | 1,152$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Anadolu Efes | 34c | 1,118$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Anadolu Efes | 30c | 1,118$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 998$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Real Madrid | 75c | 916.69$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anadolu Efes | 14c | 777.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Anadolu Efes | 31c | 773$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 670.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Real Madrid | 68c | 579.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anadolu Efes | 13c | 516.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Anadolu Efes | 8c | 479$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Anadolu Efes | 9c | 341.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Real Madrid | 73c | 310$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anadolu Efes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 299.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid | 73c | 288.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid | 78c | 285.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 242.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 219.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anadolu Efes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Real Madrid | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Real Madrid | 69c | 188.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 186.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 173.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 157.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 140.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anadolu Efes | 21c | 131.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Anadolu Efes | 16c | 121.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…c1d9backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 102.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Anadolu Efes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 97.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…3085backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…aa32backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Real Madrid | 79c | 84.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Real Madrid | 73c | 80.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Real Madrid | 66c | 80.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Anadolu Efes | 20c | 73.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Real Madrid | 67c | 59.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Anadolu Efes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Real Madrid | 72c | 43.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Real Madrid | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Real Madrid | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Real Madrid | 76c | 35.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Real Madrid | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Real Madrid | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Real Madrid | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Real Madrid | 67c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Real Madrid | 76c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.