TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,371 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed HOTU56c20,488$11,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,019.5110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c5a…ff9fbacked HOTU56c20,008$11,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,863.894548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Inner Circle Esports44c19,925$8,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,766.85048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HOTU56c4,505$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.661,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed HOTU55c4,189$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.8872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked HOTU57c3,972$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.0335940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Inner Circle Esports46c3,429$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.0720743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e4c…d766backed Inner Circle Esports15c2,823$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.47450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+216.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Inner Circle Esports44c2,363$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.54261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Inner Circle Esports1c2,354$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8cb…1f21backed HOTU54c2,175$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.121861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Inner Circle Esports44c2,094$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.5210945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,884$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.911450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,882$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.433046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,870$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed HOTU59c1,857$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.3111365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle Esports41c1,850$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU66c1,846$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.272,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80041847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Inner Circle Esports45c1,498$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Inner Circle Esports43c1,448$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4331642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Inner Circle Esports45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,267$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Inner Circle Esports42c1,230$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.611637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports41c1,192$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.516,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed HOTU47c1,185$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5525845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports34c1,116$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Inner Circle Esports44c1,102$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4854332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Inner Circle Esports44c1,041$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Inner Circle Esports44c1,019$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed HOTU58c1,011$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4327459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed HOTU49c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed HOTU55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b0…f672backed Inner Circle Esports31c989.18$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Inner Circle Esports44c965.91$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Inner Circle Esports44c917.34$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.367546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed Inner Circle Esports44c911.37$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Inner Circle Esports44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU61c904.69$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.744,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Inner Circle Esports23c900$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20638835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b1a…c345backed HOTU57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.111520%3 W · 12 L-5.0wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed Inner Circle Esports43c819.36$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3567041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports48c810.09$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.54,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Inner Circle Esports44c787.02$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34911247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed HOTU56c699.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.996432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Inner Circle Esports44c638.64$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28159343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Inner Circle Esports42c627.12$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed HOTU48c528.42$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.634450%22 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Inner Circle Esports44c521.46$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23217847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Inner Circle Esports42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed Inner Circle Esports44c498.4$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2603…90b3backed HOTU53c489.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.664131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Inner Circle Esports43c461.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.828549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed HOTU75c452.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.594856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked Inner Circle Esports45c444.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.14645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Inner Circle Esports45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports30c426.9$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed HOTU58c408$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8229647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Inner Circle Esports44c392.62$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.75,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports42c388.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.111,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Inner Circle Esports28c374.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6525634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Inner Circle Esports39c344.31$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Inner Circle Esports44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258c…5684backed Inner Circle Esports7c329.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Inner Circle Esports44c325$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed HOTU56c315.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed HOTU64c313.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Inner Circle Esports12c311.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.041,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed HOTU56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Inner Circle Esports42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12615544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…e81bbacked Inner Circle Esports23c291.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7612…b680backed Inner Circle Esports43c285.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.74875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Inner Circle Esports14c283.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Inner Circle Esports45c276.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x925d…ca00backed Inner Circle Esports45c276$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports52c275.9$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.63,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Inner Circle Esports44c262.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed HOTU58c260.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.349540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Inner Circle Esports42c235.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked HOTU59c234.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.519044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed HOTU56c234.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0836742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed HOTU40c231.19$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9910232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked HOTU61c222.81$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.378852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle Esports41c217.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0165546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.521,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Inner Circle Esports45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Inner Circle Esports40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8070038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked HOTU54c196$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.281,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed HOTU56c193.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3613049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3c…3206backed Inner Circle Esports43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca77…f088backed Inner Circle Esports17c184.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.453330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Inner Circle Esports35c183.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.824946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Inner Circle Esports11c183.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed HOTU54c182.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4833960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed HOTU57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d94…69b4backed Inner Circle Esports44c172.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3e…90f5backed Inner Circle Esports44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Inner Circle Esports44c152.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.913351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12ec…6ce1backed Inner Circle Esports23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.