CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4e4ca2a325bf0e4cf29fde6958ef04c7db46e17b94c822d4d5f846f234082b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HOTUof HOTU, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,096 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b10…9659backed Inner Circle Esports	45c	1,394$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.17	467	49.7%232 W · 235 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Inner Circle Esports	44c	1,045$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.73	1,007	52.4%528 W · 479 L	+27.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU	67c	976.34$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.17	4,220	49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L	+61.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Esports	37c	920.59$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.59	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed HOTU	53c	639.67$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.39	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80c…d40cbacked Inner Circle Esports	52c	574.48$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed HOTU	52c	544.7$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.77	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed HOTU	55c	462.6$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.42	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked HOTU	79c	421.8$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.43	345	42.3%146 W · 199 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	400$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Inner Circle Esports	47c	399.59$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.61	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed HOTU	58c	339.09$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.87	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4880…7a20backed HOTU	54c	311.65$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU	57c	311.06$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.51	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Inner Circle Esports	44c	302.84$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.2	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed HOTU	55c	302.42$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…60ccbacked Inner Circle Esports	5c	245$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Inner Circle Esports	38c	233.85$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Inner Circle Esports	47c	220$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	212$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	2,770	37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L	-139.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed HOTU	73c	210.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	269	58.4%157 W · 112 L	+20.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Inner Circle Esports	48c	206.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.55	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Inner Circle Esports	26c	195.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	380	31.1%118 W · 262 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed HOTU	54c	180$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.8	485	43.1%209 W · 276 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Inner Circle Esports	44c	170.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed Inner Circle Esports	39c	164.93$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU	63c	159.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.47	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Inner Circle Esports	44c	150.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Inner Circle Esports	43c	132.96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.03	447	43.8%196 W · 251 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU	55c	118.52$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	7,892	50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L	+182.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Inner Circle Esports	46c	111$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.06	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Inner Circle Esports	15c	107$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	1,303	26.5%345 W · 958 L	-89.1wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed HOTU	68c	106.53$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.53	90	40%36 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed Inner Circle Esports	45c	102.65$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Inner Circle Esports	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	635	41.1%261 W · 374 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Inner Circle Esports	24c	99.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x765d…610bbacked HOTU	66c	98.3$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked HOTU	54c	93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.65	124	69.4%86 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed HOTU	80c	89.99$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	932	61.7%575 W · 357 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle Esports	20c	81.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Inner Circle Esports	19c	80.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	608	57.2%348 W · 260 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Inner Circle Esports	48c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports	26c	78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	1,484	58%861 W · 623 L	+66.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle Esports	48c	77.46$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.32	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked HOTU	74c	67.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	1,117	68.6%766 W · 351 L	+20.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Inner Circle Esports	43c	61.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed HOTU	75c	60.64$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.97	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports	21c	57.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed HOTU	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	266	57.9%154 W · 112 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Inner Circle Esports	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	499	47.5%237 W · 262 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Inner Circle Esports	44c	49.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU	73c	46.95$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.81	1,643	32.8%539 W · 1,104 L	-48.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44cb…ba48backed Inner Circle Esports	48c	41.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc2…9aa3backed Inner Circle Esports	48c	41.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports	34c	40.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Inner Circle Esports	65c	38.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe8…6d0abacked HOTU	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…6b2abacked Inner Circle Esports	48c	37.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU	58c	34.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	3,256	50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L	+97.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed HOTU	56c	32.05$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.01	470	53.2%250 W · 220 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Inner Circle Esports	43c	26.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x190a…7d2cbacked Inner Circle Esports	48c	25.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	3,217	51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L	+89.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU	53c	24.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.38	3,888	36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L	-197.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed HOTU	54c	22.63$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	432	39.1%169 W · 263 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…b5e8backed Inner Circle Esports	47c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd96b…be6bbacked HOTU	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.46	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked HOTU	64c	18.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.58	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsHOTU won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event