CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9956aeb42ffb8e2ee9412ed0d19cf7e8e2f05f44cb680f73eccc7dbd7b7abbe

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HOTUof HOTU, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,554 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed Inner Circle Esports	52c	1,200$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.94	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU	52c	1,081$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.62	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed HOTU	45c	923.27$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.27	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Inner Circle Esports	14c	629.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.52	388	35.8%139 W · 249 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU	30c	491$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.67	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Inner Circle Esports	29c	420.1$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4880…7a20backed Inner Circle Esports	29c	419.83$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Inner Circle Esports	27c	419.76$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.91	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU	53c	364.3$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.3	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed HOTU	33c	299.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.98	586	51%299 W · 287 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed HOTU	26c	296$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.95	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed HOTU	39c	292.19$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.01	102	32.4%33 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU	57c	258.24$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.28	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed HOTU	61c	254.86$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.56	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed HOTU	59c	254.37$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.37	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Esports	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Inner Circle Esports	48c	206.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	319	50.5%161 W · 158 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle Esports	59c	200.59$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.18	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed HOTU	69c	199.99$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.26	269	58.4%157 W · 112 L	+20.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports	71c	198.11$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.97	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Inner Circle Esports	42c	162.91$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	635	41.1%261 W · 374 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU	25c	149$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.4	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU	22c	137.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.2	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked HOTU	51c	131$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.27	389	42.4%165 W · 224 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Inner Circle Esports	54c	119$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.77	381	31%118 W · 263 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked HOTU	50c	117.41$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed HOTU	35c	114.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.86	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Inner Circle Esports	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	223	49.8%111 W · 112 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Inner Circle Esports	55c	97.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Inner Circle Esports	36c	90$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Inner Circle Esports	60c	82.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU	50c	81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.86	543	46.2%251 W · 292 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed Inner Circle Esports	78c	79.07$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.67	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Inner Circle Esports	65c	67.59$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.82	124	69.4%86 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Inner Circle Esports	79c	65$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	1,117	68.6%766 W · 351 L	+20.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed HOTU	52c	63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.29	247	47%116 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Inner Circle Esports	68c	61.74$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Inner Circle Esports	74c	53.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	324	43.5%141 W · 183 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed HOTU	27c	53.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	696	35.3%246 W · 450 L	-49.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Inner Circle Esports	46c	49.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU	40c	43.51$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.04	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Inner Circle Esports	76c	42.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.22	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed HOTU	61c	40.72$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	544	39.7%216 W · 328 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked HOTU	52c	38.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed HOTU	51c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed HOTU	43c	34.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Inner Circle Esports	69c	33.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	1,109	50.5%560 W · 549 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Inner Circle Esports	78c	28.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Inner Circle Esports	47c	26.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports	47c	22.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Inner Circle Esports	75c	19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	388	58.2%226 W · 162 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsHOTU won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event