Euroleague · resolved market
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24782452a1de0c7d7d81453498bf0f95e0910f7f512eff7146bf9efaf119b016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Sichuan Blue Whales, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 9,897$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…137ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 31c | 6,167$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 4,201$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 2,404$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,994$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 1,630$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 1,127$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 1,108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 63c | 751.51$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.12 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…47cbbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 706.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…dbecbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 638.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 616.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 472.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 18c | 442.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 36c | 357.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 343.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 18c | 278.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 221.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 214.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 213.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 183.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 14c | 163.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 14c | 138.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 20c | 136.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 122.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…a7c2backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 19c | 119.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 14c | 105.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 13c | 81.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 17c | 71.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 49.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…b64abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 27c | 37.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 37.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 37.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…4776backed Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.