MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc3f3c7a6ee35c2ff1d2e90324e8485f4d56bc19851a85b9d6a5ae45ca4a0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 47c | 20,145$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,676.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Under | 54c | 11,189$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.95 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 11,184$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 53c | 5,831$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.32 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 3,130$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.1 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 2,940$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.12 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 2,790$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 2,243$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 2,144$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.4 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,000$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 47c | 1,715$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.17 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 23c | 1,652$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 1,555$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.43 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 53c | 1,210$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.24 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 51c | 1,201$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 1,105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,072$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 966.12$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.06 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 951.19$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.11 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 43c | 931.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.01 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 70c | 733$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 49c | 627.54$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 607.64$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Over | 49c | 543.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 531.87$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 51c | 527.87$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 53c | 498.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 50c | 470.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 461.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Under | 53c | 396.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 373.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 48c | 308.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 304.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 276.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 262$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 53c | 183.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 177.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 172.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 162.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…a59ebacked Under | 53c | 144.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 53c | 121.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 113.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 53c | 92.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 74.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Under | 53c | 61.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 61.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 55.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 59c | 54.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 48c | 48.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 52c | 44.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 53c | 40.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…0c3cbacked Over | 48c | 39.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 55c | 39.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 48c | 38.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 51c | 34.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 74c | 33.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…8bc4backed Over | 50c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Over | 46c | 27.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 52c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 54c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…54d1backed Over | 45c | 22.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 74c | 21.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.