MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac38a4f74fcc52264144fe2353baf4cf5fe40701f06e0207427347a736b0f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 22,119$12,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.36 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 22,042$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.36 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 14,183$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.98 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 10,378$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 10,337$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.41 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 10,170$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.24 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…5ce0backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 9,420$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,256$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.75 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 6,038$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 4,465$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.64 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,992$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.37 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,736$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 3,619$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,018$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.11 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,683$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 2,588$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,435$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.59 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.86 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…11f7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,225$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.97 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,683$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.99 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 1,481$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.78 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,320$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.48 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,218$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,037$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.53 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 957.81$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 901.57$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 898.89$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 859.56$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 851.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 756$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…93d9backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 710.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 700.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 628.94$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 619.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 584.22$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 574$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 572.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 528.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 480$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 462.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 441.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 415$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 387.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 387.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 377.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 367.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 332.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 297$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 295.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 284.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 275.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 269.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 253.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 242.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 217$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 212.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…565fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 211.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 200.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 189.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 182.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 181.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 173.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 170.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 164.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 163.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 159.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a2a8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 155.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 147.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 145.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 143.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 140.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 138.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 132.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…6c88backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 126.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.