MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33823cf7a376f2d038627c007cc31a17796c5d3591932fb2eea8037532ab5c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $801,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $801,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 228,985$100,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,753.62 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 197,832$110,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,046 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 31,693$13,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,944.96 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 17,052$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Boston Red Sox | 0c | 14,537$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 14,230$8,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 14,116$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.92 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 12,675$9,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 10,260$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.87 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 8,030$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.72 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 7,139$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.19 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 7,072$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.73 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 7,071$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.8 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,436$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 5,486$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 5,166$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 5,146$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 4,970$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.76 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 4,863$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.65 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 4,367$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 3,810$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.4 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 3,557$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.68 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 3,268$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.81 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,125$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.81 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,744$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.29 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,626$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 2,496$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 2,366$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,280$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 2,025$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,883$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,739$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.03 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 1,732$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 1,707$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,680$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,589$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.97 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,274$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 1,212$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,061$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 986.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 969.79$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 959.95$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 837.21$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 816.79$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 808.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 794.21$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 754.36$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 717.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 713.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 668.05$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 662.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 617.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 582.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 577$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 562.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 560.78$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 546$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 505$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 504.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 500$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 488.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 473.21$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 465$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…2f91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 428.88$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 408.39$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 405.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 391.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 371.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 363.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 356$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 340.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 320$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 315.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 310.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 309.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 306.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 302.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.