MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54ff8eab239b6312980ee3482d3e9d6adb08c0b28a1cac190a0c44039811e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 3,352$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.25 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 3,208$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 2,911$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.62 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 50c | 2,544$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.13 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 2,325$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 2,262$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.11 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 6c | 1,700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 1,636$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 51c | 1,547$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.06 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.51 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,415$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.05 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 48c | 1,397$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.35 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,372$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.1 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 9c | 1,125$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.94 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,037$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.77 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 868.55$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 843.74$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.18 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 783.1$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.3 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 685.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 49c | 666.09$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 53c | 641.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 641.22$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 13c | 624.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 598$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 10c | 575$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 48c | 524.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.79 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 506.35$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 3c | 470$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 48c | 450.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 427.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 399.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…beecbacked Over | 49c | 392.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 386.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 53c | 367.6$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 307.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 50c | 303.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 50c | 298.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 293.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 261.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 26c | 217.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 199.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 13c | 195.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 187.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 182.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 25c | 175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 53c | 163.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 160.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…c3c2backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 25c | 147.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 135.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 37c | 123.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 35c | 106.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 104.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 98.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 76.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Under | 52c | 75.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Over | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Under | 52c | 67.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 67.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 51c | 66.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 36c | 66.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Over | 60c | 65.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 62.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 41c | 56.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 53c | 55.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Over | 36c | 51.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 51c | 50.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed Over | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 34c | 49.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 53c | 40.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.