TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs TNC (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TNCof ECSTATIC, TNC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ECSTATIC68c3,733$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.5984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ECSTATIC55c3,250$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.4275056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed TNC32c2,894$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.7621055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC52c2,776$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2837…39d8backed ECSTATIC61c2,491$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed TNC60c2,109$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.7865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TNC54c1,993$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.196,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ECSTATIC52c1,754$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.236253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked TNC59c1,637$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.141,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed ECSTATIC59c1,492$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.1157358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa960…9407backed ECSTATIC38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809554.7%52 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TNC34c868.8$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.515,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ECSTATIC26c777.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.375,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TNC48c770.85$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.222,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked TNC33c701.84$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5352636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ECSTATIC37c661.12$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.222,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ECSTATIC34c609.7$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.232,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked TNC51c550.64$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3522534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed TNC38c518.07$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.91,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked TNC46c491.21$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.126037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC55c476.23$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.764,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed TNC63c466.21$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.887972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed TNC47c462.77$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed ECSTATIC72c411.79$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.891,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7289…aaacbacked ECSTATIC58c408.48$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNC45c404.77$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.455,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked ECSTATIC75c389.52$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.411,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked ECSTATIC69c378.22$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9719043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked ECSTATIC46c360.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.884450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed TNC52c353.62$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.872250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…0880backed TNC31c337$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.413330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed TNC62c313.4$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9144244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed TNC54c296.58$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4378348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed TNC60c296.18$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7616350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TNC44c278.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.632,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC43c254.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.573,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed TNC43c243.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3139946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ECSTATIC57c217.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed ECSTATIC70c213.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.545465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TNC57c207.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.94,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed TNC62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TNC30c199.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.982,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed TNC32c196.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.716735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed TNC47c195.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3229840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa30f…90c2backed TNC21c172.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.185154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ECSTATIC43c161.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.383,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked TNC47c154.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0927754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked TNC28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10870038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed TNC43c142.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed ECSTATIC56c129.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1622650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed ECSTATIC43c114.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked ECSTATIC24c110.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8227015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed ECSTATIC68c107.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.247958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ECSTATIC55c107.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ECSTATIC31c106.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.472,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed TNC45c103.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0973948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed TNC45c103.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.061533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked ECSTATIC42c102.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked TNC53c102.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.261,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed ECSTATIC51c100.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6727647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked TNC43c99.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed TNC49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4428434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed TNC62c90.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed ECSTATIC68c85.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TNC25c83.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.671,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC31c75.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.252,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed TNC29c71.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7614630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed TNC31c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.851,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed ECSTATIC40c64.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.649152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked TNC52c55.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2540652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a08…5627backed ECSTATIC66c46.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.773342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked TNC44c45.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5230031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed ECSTATIC68c41.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.547856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed ECSTATIC68c41.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.140247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa262…997fbacked ECSTATIC38c40.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ECSTATIC56c39.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.172,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked ECSTATIC56c36.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4610945%49 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked ECSTATIC56c36.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.215160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed ECSTATIC55c32.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.043953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd4…65d8backed ECSTATIC47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed ECSTATIC68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5129…5bcbbacked ECSTATIC64c29.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked ECSTATIC70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6433657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1634…b32fbacked ECSTATIC70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.645541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab1…86e3backed TNC52c27.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed TNC48c23.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.442646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked ECSTATIC68c17.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1735752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked ECSTATIC67c15.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1144563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.