Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nice: Manon Favier vs Julia Stusek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa30d024023fe35bc6ff2236e189e48a12fc3ec2536cedb544ead99daaf374838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Stusekof Manon Favier, Julia Stusek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Manon Favier | 22c | 7,884$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Julia Stusek | 79c | 3,600$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Manon Favier | 18c | 2,430$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.41 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Manon Favier | 25c | 1,914$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Julia Stusek | 74c | 1,546$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Julia Stusek | 41c | 1,458$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manon Favier | 14c | 1,213$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Stusek | 74c | 1,012$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Julia Stusek | 70c | 836.43$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Manon Favier | 59c | 812.21$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.77 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Manon Favier | 33c | 771.37$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Manon Favier | 27c | 753$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Manon Favier | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Julia Stusek | 62c | 319.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Julia Stusek | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Manon Favier | 17c | 175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Julia Stusek | 66c | 173.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…337dbacked Julia Stusek | 79c | 157.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Manon Favier | 31c | 147.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Manon Favier | 8c | 134.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Julia Stusek | 35c | 129$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Julia Stusek | 34c | 124.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manon Favier | 32c | 103.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Manon Favier | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Julia Stusek | 78c | 89.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Julia Stusek | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Manon Favier | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Julia Stusek | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Manon Favier | 59c | 70.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Julia Stusek | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Manon Favier | 59c | 59.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Julia Stusek | 42c | 57.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Manon Favier | 29c | 56.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Manon Favier | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Julia Stusek | 76c | 50.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Manon Favier | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Julia Stusek | 73c | 48.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Julia Stusek | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Julia Stusek | 73c | 42.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Julia Stusek | 70c | 42.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Manon Favier | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Manon Favier | 59c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Julia Stusek | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Julia Stusek | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Julia Stusek | 75c | 30.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Manon Favier | 50c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Julia Stusek | 80c | 28.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Julia Stusek | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Manon Favier | 58c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Julia Stusek | 80c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Julia Stusek | 80c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Manon Favier | 59c | 17.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Julia Stusek | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Julia Stusek | 80c | 13.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.