Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc209e68ae850c3d9d5765723f32d872268a6dca937e13c265cfdd5c67b566858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 10c | 566.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.67 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 403.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 341.79$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 29c | 240.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…f3c2backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 69c | 168.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 15c | 166.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 164$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 161.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 39c | 149.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 70c | 147.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 11c | 145.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 136.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 126.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…903dbacked Yes | 41c | 122.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 33c | 117.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 62c | 113.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 25c | 109.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 59c | 108.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 31c | 108.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked Yes | 18c | 105.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 28c | 102.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 98.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 24c | 97.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked Yes | 51c | 87.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 84.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 76c | 83.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 67c | 81.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…f690backed Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…e1b8backed Yes | 32c | 74.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 73c | 69.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 28c | 69.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 68.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc6…31bdbacked Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 32c | 63.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 61.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 28c | 60.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 33c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 26c | 57.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…3d40backed No | 76c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 48c | 55.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 38c | 48.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 66c | 48.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…9639backed No | 76c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 47c | 42.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 55c | 42.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…fa42backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 40.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 40c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 39c | 37.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 34.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 33.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 68c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed No | 62c | 29.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 29.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed No | 72c | 28.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 68c | 28.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6backed No | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 27.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…6718backed Yes | 45c | 27.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…922ebacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 22.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 65c | 22.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 64c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 73c | 17.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 79c | 16.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 72c | 16.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 16.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 73c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked No | 75c | 13.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 12.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.