CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4efb8c00f495bfd9aa440140b0184289c25be10440e6c46b27e81a6a55c1aac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Lavked, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 6,003$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.37 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Lavked | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Lavked | 48c | 1,625$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.67 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Lavked | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 865.41$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 591.23$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 34c | 588.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Lavked | 33c | 448.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Lavked | 55c | 398.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 320.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 294.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Lavked | 6c | 192.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 173.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…8966backed Lavked | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Lavked | 51c | 142.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 108.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Lavked | 68c | 105.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Lavked | 56c | 95.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lavked | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 53.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 57c | 39.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Lavked | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Lavked | 56c | 38.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Lavked | 64c | 37.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Lavked | 55c | 30.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 28.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Lavked | 55c | 27.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 24.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…ae27backed Lavked | 61c | 21.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.