UFC · resolved market

O/U 1.5 Rounds

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8458468130bd99fabed9e76817dfc8ed4ee2016383f43271bce564e2dda7466

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,388 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Under	50c	10,037$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,036.87	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.99	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	7,685$3,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,999.11	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	50c	6,955$3,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462.62	200	48.5%97 W · 103 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	48c	4,394$2,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,284.78	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34e…ea1fbacked Over	1c	4,100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	21cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Under	50c	2,001$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.87	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over	51c	1,778$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.59	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Under	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a34…40b1backed Under	49c	1,013$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.1	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Over	47c	830.19$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.19	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Under	53c	811.32$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.32	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under	50c	704.52$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.26	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Under	54c	448.61$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.61	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Under	49c	427.35$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.31	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under	47c	407.57$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.01	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Over	52c	400.23$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	49c	399.87$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.93	107	54.2%58 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under	50c	384.61$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.31	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	50c	344$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Over	52c	285.63$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.53	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	64cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa537…ebd0backed Over	64c	251$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Over	49c	202.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c87…6d0ebacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	60%87 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583d…d79bbacked Under	50c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Over	53c	199.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over	52c	199.97$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccf…cd14backed Under	50c	199.94$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Under	50c	197.43$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Under	50c	197.4$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Over	51c	196.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Over	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Under	49c	193.88$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.88	91	44%40 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under	50c	192.3$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab22…c3f6backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under	50c	183.26$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6240…df71backed Over	51c	181.76$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5ca…bd97backed Over	56c	177.48$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	51c	173.43$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.59	175	24%42 W · 133 L	-22.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	50c	170$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Over	52c	169.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Over	51c	118.08$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under	50c	118$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…9b09backed Under	49c	113.78$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.03	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad3…5295backed Over	52c	113.23$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked Over	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d7…cfe0backed Over	50c	101.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under	50c	98.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.9wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38f6…32b0backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Over	53c	94.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e77…4bd7backed Over	55c	90.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Under	49c	85.71$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.71	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Under	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	155	56.8%88 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	52c	76.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Over	52c	76.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Under	48c	75.17$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.17	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-5.2wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Over	52c	74.71$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed Over	54c	74.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0756…afecbacked Over	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…9a2cbacked Under	50c	65.76$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af6…a40ebacked Over	53c	64.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	99	61.6%61 W · 38 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under	48c	59.82$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.82	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2a…2ba0backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7227…80cebacked Under	49c	51.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.48	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Over	54c	51.26$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over	49c	51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	50c	49.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8229…64e6backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	84	77.4%65 W · 19 L	+11.1wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97a9…d771backed Over	50c	46.46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Under	48c	41.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Under	59c	41.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.87	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd7…147fbacked Under	48c	40.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.13	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Mauricio Ruffy won
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Michael Chandler win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

O/U 1.5 Rounds

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event