MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c35ba1d8262c4e747ef9ce70f3cf56d1d500cc97bf7e5ecac9ee9e09bdf3fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof New York Mets, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1b…8697backed New York Mets | 28c | 43,444$12,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,337.25 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 39,695$18,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,038.35 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 36,347$26,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,095.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 24c | 19,311$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 12,510$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed New York Mets | 27c | 10,016$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 27c | 9,951$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 55c | 9,816$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 9c | 7,142$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 53c | 6,006$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.98 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 5,610$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 3,886$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.72 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,880$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.74 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 3,853$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.01 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed New York Mets | 25c | 3,740$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.94 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked New York Mets | 3c | 3,063$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 24c | 3,032$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 17c | 2,881$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked New York Mets | 21c | 2,384$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 0c | 2,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,046$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.73 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,015$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.89 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 1,964$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.03 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,804$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 37c | 1,658$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,500$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.37 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets | 7c | 1,456$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,233$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,137$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Mets | 2c | 1,110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,065$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 1,042$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,036$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.69 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 989.57$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.82 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 8c | 934.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 883.31$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 782.06$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked New York Mets | 4c | 770$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 766.86$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 32c | 683.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 646.33$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed New York Mets | 24c | 616.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 611.7$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 9c | 547.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets | 35c | 486.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 436$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 433$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 416.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed New York Mets | 39c | 402.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked New York Mets | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 388.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 14c | 382.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets | 26c | 379$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed New York Mets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 363.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 356.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 323.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed New York Mets | 9c | 292.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 287.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Mets | 39c | 261.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 258.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 249.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 53c | 243.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 226.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 226.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 219.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 215.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…01fabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 207.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 206.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…f0e6backed New York Mets | 28c | 203.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 200.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed New York Mets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 20c | 198$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked New York Mets | 27c | 186.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.