MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58d5695519dc495988b08ced11ccfb5d88eae8394dfcb75fa5e4f56b4824e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 7,000$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 5,100$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 4,106$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 3,470$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 48c | 2,995$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.4 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 52c | 2,981$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,923$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 2,351$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.66 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 2,102$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Under | 10c | 2,100$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Under | 10c | 2,100$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,749$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 1,617$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.26 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 8c | 1,550$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 9c | 1,536$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,378$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 9c | 1,350$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,187$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 53c | 1,082$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +393.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 865.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 9c | 810.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 800$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.76 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Under | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 66c | 714.4$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 679.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 643.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 625.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 614.29$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.29 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 545.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 422.37$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 413.52$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Under | 36c | 282.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 281.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 220.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 218.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Under | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 16c | 186.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 65c | 176$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 52c | 140.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 139.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 48c | 112.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 47c | 103.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 51c | 92.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 17c | 79.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 68c | 78.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 51c | 61.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 42c | 59.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 47c | 56.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 54c | 54.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 51.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Over | 59c | 50.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 39c | 39.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…2eafbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 77c | 28.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 75c | 23.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 63c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.