NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29bbaf366b972063117f0fe2e536d8f126a0d88ab371146b0cb6b614160c5706

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Suns
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,119,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,233,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,119,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Thunder	52c	342,522$179,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162,855.82	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns	47c	313,753$147,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147,463.69	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Suns	48c	100,000$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,000	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder	53c	91,679$48,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,089.25	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns	48c	60,000$28,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,800	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Suns	45c	59,891$27,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,013.28	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Suns	48c	50,073$24,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,165.39	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Suns	46c	39,140$18,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,085.38	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Suns	46c	31,443$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400.04	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder	53c	27,273$14,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,842.89	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Thunder	52c	26,596$13,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,679.87	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder	53c	24,337$12,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,482.26	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Thunder	52c	23,905$12,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,580.92	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder	55c	21,948$12,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,876.81	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	52c	19,798$10,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,532.72	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder	50c	16,766$8,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,383.23	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns	26c	15,257$3,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,910.83	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Suns	46c	13,378$6,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,127.22	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder	75c	13,202$9,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,354.02	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Suns	46c	13,000$5,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,979.97	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder	54c	11,218$6,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,160.37	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns	50c	11,028$5,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,513.79	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Suns	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,699.94	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder	49c	9,845$4,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,021.07	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Suns	23c	9,307$2,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,126.1	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Suns	31c	9,216$2,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,891.64	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Thunder	53c	9,036$4,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,252.68	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Suns	47c	7,268$3,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,410.07	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns	50c	6,752$3,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,376.2	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Suns	48c	6,055$2,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,906.4	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Suns	48c	6,055$2,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,906.4	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Suns	45c	6,004$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.93	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Thunder	55c	5,499$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,474.56	93	57%53 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Suns	51c	4,994$2,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,527.13	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder	49c	4,923$2,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,510.53	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Suns	48c	4,844$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,325.12	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Suns	52c	4,673$2,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,427.94	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder	53c	4,258$2,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,013.44	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns	38c	4,056$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525.19	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder	72c	3,877$2,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.35	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder	51c	3,577$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,762.32	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Thunder	50c	3,368$1,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,683.92	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c0…25b8backed Thunder	55c	3,355$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.58	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Suns	48c	3,236$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560.28	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Suns	46c	3,155$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.4	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Suns	33c	2,950$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.24	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Thunder	50c	2,910$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Thunder	51c	2,880$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.19	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Suns	17c	2,795$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.1	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Suns	48c	2,646$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.43	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Suns	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Suns	48c	2,165$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.74	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Suns	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.95	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Suns	48c	2,008$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.48	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Suns	51c	1,973$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.22	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder	77c	1,828$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.38	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Suns	30c	1,776$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.96	270	59.6%161 W · 109 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Thunder	54c	1,500$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.98	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Thunder	54c	1,497$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.85	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Suns	13c	1,487$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.53	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	53c	1,368$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.31	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Thunder	56c	1,313$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.6	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder	51c	1,303$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.63	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns	48c	1,200$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.39	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Thunder	53c	1,177$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.4	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Thunder	53c	1,131$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.73	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns	51c	1,026$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.23	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Suns	46c	1,024$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.99	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Thunder	77c	1,019$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.6	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Thunder	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns	49c	999.96$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.98	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Suns	51c	951.57$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.3	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Suns	52c	941.89$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.97	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Thunder	52c	938.67$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.53	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Suns	47c	937.3$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.53	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Thunder	53c	919.01$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.16	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder	53c	918.09$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.23	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c04…8c0abacked Thunder	56c	865.48$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Suns	28c	760.11$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.95	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns	48c	741.41$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.26	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Suns	52c	730.28$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.85	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Thunder	55c	689.94$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.47	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Suns	46c	676.92$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.38	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Thunder	55c	642.18$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.98	125	48%60 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Thunder	50c	636.32$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.16	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Suns	47c	618$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.46	158	53.8%85 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Thunder	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Thunder	54c	583.44$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.38	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder	50c	582$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Suns	3c	573.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Suns	18c	528.22$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.08	258	50%129 W · 129 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Thunder	56c	521.57$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.49	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Thunder	56c	517.15$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.98	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+8.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Thunder	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Thunder	31c	500$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+6.8wins	+0.36per pick	27cpaid	+124.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Thunder	31c	500$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+6.8wins	+0.38per pick	29cpaid	+143.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Thunder	21c	498.76$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.02	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Thunder	46c	498$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.13	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Suns	48c	490.87$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.31	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5No won
Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event