NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde93fe05c66ac1c558feabd2679106cf9d4f023d5b48879a1935386b5aaebf68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,153,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,264,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,153,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 9c | 450,293$40,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,526.39 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns | 8c | 160,975$13,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,487.74 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Suns | 10c | 141,842$14,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,184.19 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Suns | 11c | 99,999$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.92 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Suns | 11c | 79,771$8,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,504.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Suns | 9c | 79,236$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Suns | 9c | 75,632$6,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,806.88 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 3c | 70,776$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Suns | 9c | 65,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.95 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Suns | 3c | 57,912$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Suns | 9c | 52,522$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns | 0c | 52,380$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…51e3backed Suns | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Suns | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Suns | 1c | 48,207$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 10c | 37,074$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Suns | 1c | 27,463$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Suns | 9c | 24,730$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.99 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked Suns | 3c | 22,733$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 2c | 21,494$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 4c | 18,082$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.29 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Suns | 10c | 16,962$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Suns | 10c | 15,600$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.03 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Suns | 0c | 15,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Suns | 5c | 14,565$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.61 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 7c | 14,328$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.01 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Suns | 10c | 11,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 9c | 10,768$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Suns | 9c | 10,252$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Suns | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Suns | 9c | 9,892$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.12 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Suns | 10c | 9,460$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Suns | 11c | 8,634$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.73 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Suns | 1c | 8,534$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Suns | 2c | 8,369$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Suns | 11c | 8,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 0c | 7,910$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Suns | 10c | 7,858$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 351 | 29.6%104 W · 247 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…35e1backed Suns | 0c | 7,430$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Suns | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 9c | 6,360$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.41 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Suns | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Suns | 8c | 6,004$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.35 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Suns | 1c | 5,842$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Suns | 9c | 5,567$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 1c | 5,509$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Suns | 1c | 5,434$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Suns | 9c | 5,252$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Suns | 9c | 5,250$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.46 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Suns | 8c | 5,090$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns | 0c | 5,073$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Suns | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…1af2backed Suns | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed Suns | 6c | 5,000$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 8c | 4,696$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Suns | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Suns | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Suns | 0c | 4,209$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Suns | 9c | 4,136$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 11c | 3,976$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.33 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…5573backed Suns | 1c | 3,763$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Suns | 11c | 3,600$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…5822backed Suns | 12c | 3,502$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Suns | 1c | 3,414$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Suns | 3c | 3,318$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Suns | 12c | 3,235$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 5c | 3,153$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Suns | 1c | 3,150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Suns | 3c | 3,133$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 8c | 3,117$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Suns | 11c | 2,779$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Suns | 11c | 2,615$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Suns | 11c | 2,485$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.72 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…6f68backed Suns | 1c | 2,422$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…dc25backed Suns | 11c | 2,334$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Suns | 2c | 2,139$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Suns | 10c | 2,042$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Suns | 10c | 2,020$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…194bbacked Suns | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…bb1bbacked Suns | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Suns | 10c | 1,987$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Suns | 10c | 1,910$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…c177backed Suns | 9c | 1,907$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Suns | 12c | 1,894$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Suns | 2c | 1,878$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Suns | 8c | 1,791$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Suns | 6c | 1,707$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Suns | 1c | 1,552$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 6c | 1,544$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Suns | 9c | 1,523$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Suns | 1c | 1,501$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Suns | 13c | 1,422$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Suns | 8c | 1,365$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Suns | 11c | 1,282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Suns | 7c | 1,242$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…82c5backed Suns | 11c | 1,239$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Suns | 1c | 1,184$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.