TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Suns, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,153,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,264,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,153,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns9c450,293$40,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,526.3987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns8c160,975$13,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,487.7448845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Suns10c141,842$14,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,184.1911737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Suns11c99,999$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.928038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Suns11c79,771$8,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,504.543148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Suns9c79,236$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,131.254030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Suns9c75,632$6,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,806.8810930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Suns3c70,776$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Suns9c65,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.9561851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Suns3c57,912$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.971520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Suns9c52,522$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7273729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns0c52,380$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.355213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f5…51e3backed Suns0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Suns8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Suns1c48,207$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Suns10c37,074$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Suns1c27,463$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3619258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Suns9c24,730$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.993718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…467bbacked Suns3c22,733$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Suns2c21,494$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns4c18,082$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.291,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Suns10c16,962$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.163225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Suns10c15,600$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.0356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Suns0c15,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Suns5c14,565$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns7c14,328$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.011,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Suns10c11,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0901,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns9c10,768$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Suns9c10,252$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Suns9c9,892$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.123767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Suns10c9,460$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9469838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Suns11c8,634$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.738834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Suns1c8,534$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6722036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Suns2c8,369$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5618031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Suns11c8,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns0c7,910$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.735502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Suns10c7,858$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9835129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ae4…35e1backed Suns0c7,430$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Suns7c7,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns9c6,360$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.411,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Suns8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.982347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Suns8c6,004$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Suns1c5,842$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.23179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Suns9c5,567$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.998225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Suns1c5,509$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Suns1c5,434$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.331258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Suns9c5,252$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.71417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Suns9c5,250$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.4610530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Suns8c5,090$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.186628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns0c5,073$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.777211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Suns0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b7…1af2backed Suns10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1b…62c1backed Suns6c5,000$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns8c4,696$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Suns10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Suns10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Suns0c4,209$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x955c…ce96backed Suns9c4,136$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns11c3,976$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.331,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcd…5573backed Suns1c3,763$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns11c3,600$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5714…5822backed Suns12c3,502$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…c340backed Suns1c3,414$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Suns3c3,318$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.73511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Suns12c3,235$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0725546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns5c3,153$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Suns1c3,150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.487841%32 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Suns3c3,133$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Suns8c3,117$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Suns11c2,779$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Suns11c2,615$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.674953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Suns11c2,485$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…6f68backed Suns1c2,422$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308a…dc25backed Suns11c2,334$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Suns2c2,139$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.075335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Suns10c2,042$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.161020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Suns10c2,020$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…194bbacked Suns10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9a…bb1bbacked Suns11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Suns10c1,987$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6614924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Suns10c1,910$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0316136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb6…c177backed Suns9c1,907$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.952821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Suns12c1,894$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3212313%16 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Suns2c1,878$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.469214.1%13 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Suns8c1,791$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7210344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Suns6c1,707$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.35352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6c…98babacked Suns1c1,552$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns6c1,544$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Suns9c1,523$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0810630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Suns1c1,501$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.944623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Suns13c1,422$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Suns8c1,365$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.418641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Suns11c1,282$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.044768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Suns7c1,242$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…82c5backed Suns11c1,239$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Suns1c1,184$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.