Golf · resolved market

Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3502112dcb7c8e193585f4a5ffd5e8fb52e0c848e117f3b9c346e7e6eb04962

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes	34c	7,860$2,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,156.46	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…d302backed No	65c	5,821$3,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,777.4	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed No	67c	1,078$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	67c	835.37$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.69	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	67c	392.08$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.69	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No	40c	369.11$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.04	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-56%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes	49c	186.24$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.77	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	53c	173.87$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.09	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes	40c	120.5$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	63c	116.36$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.05	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	55c	79.9$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.28	254	49.2%125 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	53c	48.59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f7…2d3cbacked No	55c	22.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No	67c	19.96$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed No	67c	16.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event