TailMyPicks
Market

Golf · resolved market

Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6239…c24fbacked No32c518.15$164 inLost-$163.8826839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes75c415.02$312 inWon+$103.4722546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No48c211.13$101 inLost-$101.23857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes52c195$101 inWon+$93.61625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes65c94.99$62 inWon+$33.2325449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73c…ca1dbacked Yes50c48.5$24 inWon+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No44c44.2$19 inLost-$19.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked Yes56c43.03$24 inWon+$18.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No50c24.25$12 inLost-$12.1310268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.