Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1b7098406ae5f5800b899d8b8df8c3bed550997a091538e9eeb749b43aa47a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x423c…edc5backed No	1c	2,065$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes	74c	809.22$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.22	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes	42c	540.74$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.85	4,665	26.6%1,242 W · 3,423 L	+65.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…e878backed No	62c	468.3$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.23	237	43%102 W · 135 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	42c	427$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.05	4,505	19.6%882 W · 3,623 L	+47.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc120…a7e3backed No	51c	422.93$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.45	1,300	54.2%704 W · 596 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes	41c	390.53$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.84	346	24.3%84 W · 262 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…f0fdbacked No	3c	370.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes	43c	353.61$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.31	178	38.8%69 W · 109 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	60c	274.9$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.15	5,832	36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L	+211.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes	66c	272.47$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.11	2,530	50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L	-48.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes	38c	262.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.2	2,743	29.7%816 W · 1,927 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1acf…d02ebacked Yes	29c	256$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.52	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	54c	247.19$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.58	2,870	64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L	-32.8wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…bc23backed No	65c	226.98$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.53	811	65.8%534 W · 277 L	-37.1wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa139…5bc2backed Yes	44c	222.19$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.46	112	40.2%45 W · 67 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed Yes	36c	220.19$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	3,050	40.5%1,235 W · 1,815 L	-121.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2e…40adbacked Yes	52c	214.56$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.65	295	20.7%61 W · 234 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ca…ccdebacked Yes	53c	208.49$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.83	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec0…3baabacked Yes	69c	206.16$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.32	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	23c	205.51$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.18	789	27.9%220 W · 569 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b13…62d3backed Yes	46c	203.44$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.39	1,052	31.2%328 W · 724 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d33…6be3backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166	142	36.6%52 W · 90 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	41c	181.01$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	12,477	46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L	-43.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	26c	180.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	1,908	55.6%1,060 W · 848 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ead…f333backed Yes	43c	172.71$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.44	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No	50c	164.44$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.77	3,301	65%2,147 W · 1,154 L	-38.5wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…1b63backed Yes	44c	160.68$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.15	434	37.8%164 W · 270 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…6651backed Yes	43c	159$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.94	146	37.7%55 W · 91 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	8c	157.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	2,628	54%1,419 W · 1,209 L	-56.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No	60c	156$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.8	1,464	58.5%857 W · 607 L	+71.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No	64c	154.51$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.22	617	52.8%326 W · 291 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes	45c	153.85$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a87…a55abacked Yes	35c	150$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	1,114	35.1%391 W · 723 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951c…d8c7backed Yes	46c	149.74$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.19	694	35.3%245 W · 449 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe77d…7383backed No	48c	145.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.66	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	144.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.85	2,119	36.1%764 W · 1,355 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27a…06f8backed Yes	39c	132.67$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.36	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf211…385dbacked No	60c	131.96$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.91	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	43c	128.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.52	9,885	45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L	-302.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c38…f194backed No	34c	128$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	2,655	47.3%1,257 W · 1,398 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	56c	126.95$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.18	2,265	39.6%896 W · 1,369 L	-56.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	66c	123.35$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	8,309	49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L	+271.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8827…5d62backed Yes	47c	121.63$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.99	1,801	50.4%907 W · 894 L	+39.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7966…b251backed No	73c	121.11$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.95	144	59%85 W · 59 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes	46c	118.58$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.58	333	43.2%144 W · 189 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	62c	117.55$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.84	1,322	32.2%426 W · 896 L	-43.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No	46c	114.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	981	60.6%594 W · 387 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	36c	109.44$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	1,554	33.1%515 W · 1,039 L	-66.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4248…60abbacked Yes	16c	104.79$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.02	2,318	58.9%1,365 W · 953 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No	56c	103.32$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.67	999	63.5%634 W · 365 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40eb…ade9backed Yes	63c	101.81$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.81	512	47.1%241 W · 271 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c4…d144backed No	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,255	62.5%785 W · 470 L	+99.5wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	334	46.4%155 W · 179 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0f…9a05backed No	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	208	31.3%65 W · 143 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…35dfbacked No	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,279	33.6%430 W · 849 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes	17c	99.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	812	34.1%277 W · 535 L	+56.9wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c8…80f8backed No	63c	97.36$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	391	58.1%227 W · 164 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	50c	96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	54c	94.72$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	51c	92.58$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	287	37.6%108 W · 179 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	32c	92.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	633	49.9%316 W · 317 L	+31.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	28c	89.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.81	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	35c	87.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.01	4,014	35.6%1,428 W · 2,586 L	+41.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No	66c	86.85$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.35	197	64.5%127 W · 70 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b29…623bbacked Yes	39c	80.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.27	268	28.7%77 W · 191 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes	48c	79.52$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.46	421	30.4%128 W · 293 L	+19.5wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes	33c	76.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.09	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8327…577dbacked Yes	77c	71.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Yes	58c	71.6$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.28	287	49.5%142 W · 145 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc6…b97abacked Yes	51c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	179	36.3%65 W · 114 L	+11.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaada…160bbacked Yes	43c	69.4$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1c1…1bebbacked No	68c	67.43$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	276	48.6%134 W · 142 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc9d…f963backed Yes	41c	66$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.72	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…a498backed Yes	38c	60.29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	41c	54.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	7,564	37.5%2,840 W · 4,724 L	+95.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes	36c	53.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	701	33.5%235 W · 466 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…57bcbacked No	65c	52.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.87	391	59.8%234 W · 157 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	39c	51.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	739	27.3%202 W · 537 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd136…ef46backed Yes	56c	51.19$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.52	76	65.8%50 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes	45c	50.85$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa793…4461backed Yes	63c	50.28$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa456…6d13backed Yes	39c	50.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.29	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Yes	34c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.09	349	34.1%119 W · 230 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd31…0a42backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	126	38.1%48 W · 78 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb501…9a53backed Yes	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	175	36%63 W · 112 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…b3a9backed No	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3,028	31.3%949 W · 2,079 L	+40.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbf…b1aebacked Yes	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.93	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc941…a0e8backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	209	38.3%80 W · 129 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbff…06d2backed Yes	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	99	32.3%32 W · 67 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b7…ee5dbacked Yes	45c	49.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7c…b00dbacked No	66c	49.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	793	63.4%503 W · 290 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad3…7715backed Yes	38c	49.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes	33c	49.98$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.49	728	37.8%275 W · 453 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes	32c	49.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.9	1,298	33.1%430 W · 868 L	+39.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…fe29backed No	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	521	55.3%288 W · 233 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…913dbacked Yes	44c	48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+25%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf49…2486backed Yes	58c	47.97$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	155	45.2%70 W · 85 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f4…89d3backed Yes	37c	45.83$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes	49c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?this page
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 2?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 2?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 2?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event