TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefdd…017fbacked Over53c32,841$17,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,435.447755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c11,897$5,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,987.364,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c11,285$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.712,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c7,121$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.7211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under48c5,000$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3751,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over53c3,780$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.5819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,497$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c2,488$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.131,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c2,488$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.131,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over52c2,467$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.328441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c1,447$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.138,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over54c1,383$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.152,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c1,047$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.391,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under48c840.57$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.473036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c699.97$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.686,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c611.77$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.851,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over50c600$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c516.43$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over48c506.29$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0861352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25038455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over51c397.88$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.943,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under56c314$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.751,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over52c311.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4728850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c302.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa25…2bc1backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under76c263$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.882,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c237.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.298,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under68c224.93$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Over50c197.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under49c175$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over51c168$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3299744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c163.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.91,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c157$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.451,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under47c155.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.869553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under48c150.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.741,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over41c140$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.261948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c137$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.872,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under79c126.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under47c106.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under56c103.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.883,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over53c99.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9937357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over53c83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0642550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over54c81.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.923661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over52c67.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.358145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under59c59.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.341,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Under36c57.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a3…628cbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.491,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7630…d7fabacked Under49c46.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over51c41.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over51c39.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c39.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.992,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed Over53c38.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71f…289abacked Over53c36.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a92…1f2dbacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under47c29.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9912541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over52c28.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8814645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.088,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48fd…aca7backed Over53c26.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Under49c24.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Under47c23.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.928560%51 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Under47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.346445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over56c21.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.628043.2%121 W · 159 L-23.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x34a9…4cfdbacked Under47c21.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c20.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under63c20.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6216261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over51c19.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7922849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over54c19.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over64c18.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.774,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…d911backed Under56c18.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under72c17.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.955743.9%25 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under61c17.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.462,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under72c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.244,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.