MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa372501bba34ec621a78016c41e391cd1a26172b90c540a17796b7ef2d26b5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Over | 53c | 32,841$17,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435.44 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 11,897$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 11,285$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 7,121$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 53c | 3,780$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.58 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,497$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 2,488$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.13 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 2,488$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.13 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 52c | 2,467$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,447$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 1,383$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.15 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 1,047$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.39 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Under | 48c | 840.57$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 699.97$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 611.77$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 600$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 516.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 506.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 397.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 56c | 314$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 52c | 311.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…2bc1backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 76c | 263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 237.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 224.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Over | 50c | 197.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 163.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 47c | 155.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 150.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 41c | 140$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 79c | 126.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 56c | 103.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 81.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 52c | 67.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 59c | 59.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 36c | 57.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a3…628cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Under | 49c | 46.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 51c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Over | 53c | 38.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…289abacked Over | 53c | 36.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…1f2dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 47c | 29.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…aca7backed Over | 53c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 49c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 47c | 23.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 56c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Under | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 63c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 54c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 64c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Under | 56c | 18.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 17.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.